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Probability

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Probability

Quantitative Aptitude – Probability

Study of chance: predicting how likely an event is to occur.

1. Basic Concept

\( P(E) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}} \)

2. Types of Events

  • Independent events: One doesn’t affect the other.
  • Dependent events: Outcome affects next.
  • Mutually exclusive: Only one can happen at a time.

3. Key Rules

  • \( P(A') = 1 - P(A) \)
  • If A and B are independent: \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) \)
  • If A and B are mutually exclusive: \( P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) \)

4. Examples

  • Probability of drawing ace from a pack: \( P = \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13} \)
  • Probability of getting head on a coin toss: \( \frac{1}{2} \)

5. Tips for Exams

  • Always list all outcomes for clarity.
  • Check whether events are independent or mutually exclusive.

6. Mistakes to Avoid

  • Counting overlapping outcomes multiple times.
  • Confusing 'and' with 'or' scenarios.